Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001517 0.001600 0.001685 0.001780 0.001881 0.001988 0.002107
2025-06-01 0.001373 0.001490 0.001615 0.001759 0.001920 0.002096 0.002303
2025-06-08 0.001287 0.001428 0.001582 0.001765 0.001977 0.002218 0.002511
2025-06-15 0.001209 0.001364 0.001539 0.001751 0.002004 0.002298 0.002670
2025-06-22 0.001151 0.001317 0.001508 0.001745 0.002036 0.002382 0.002833
2025-06-29 0.001094 0.001268 0.001471 0.001728 0.002048 0.002440 0.002963
2025-07-06 0.001044 0.001223 0.001435 0.001708 0.002055 0.002488 0.003080
2025-07-13 0.000988 0.001168 0.001384 0.001666 0.002030 0.002492 0.003137
2025-07-20 0.000960 0.001146 0.001371 0.001670 0.002063 0.002571 0.003297
2025-07-27 0.000937 0.001128 0.001363 0.001679 0.002101 0.002658 0.003470
2025-08-03 0.000921 0.001118 0.001365 0.001700 0.002156 0.002768 0.003681
2025-08-10 0.000894 0.001094 0.001346 0.001694 0.002171 0.002824 0.003817
2025-08-17 0.000859 0.001059 0.001313 0.001668 0.002164 0.002852 0.003920
2025-08-24 0.000830 0.001031 0.001289 0.001654 0.002171 0.002902 0.004060
2025-08-31 0.000811 0.001016 0.001281 0.001662 0.002209 0.002997 0.004274
2025-09-07 0.000786 0.000991 0.001260 0.001649 0.002216 0.003046 0.004420
2025-09-14 0.000766 0.000972 0.001245 0.001644 0.002235 0.003112 0.004596
2025-09-21 0.000743 0.000948 0.001223 0.001628 0.002235 0.003150 0.004727
2025-09-28 0.000720 0.000925 0.001200 0.001610 0.002231 0.003181 0.004847
2025-10-05 0.000692 0.000892 0.001163 0.001571 0.002193 0.003155 0.004867
2025-10-12 0.000680 0.000881 0.001157 0.001575 0.002221 0.003237 0.005082
2025-10-19 0.000669 0.000873 0.001153 0.001583 0.002257 0.003331 0.005325
2025-10-26 0.000663 0.000870 0.001157 0.001603 0.002310 0.003458 0.005637